The NBA summer league has been a reversal trend for many bettors that got in on the eight day action. Favorites and obvious sides seemed to cash at will the first four to five days. Once tournament play began though upsets have been occurring left and right.
No one would have picked this championship between the Charlotte Bobcats and Sacramento Kings. Charlotte looked like a team that had no offensive weapons at all. Sacramento on the other hand has a talented roster, but looked like a team mailing it in like a preseason NFL game.
For Monday’s championship the draw from Vegas and offshore likely will be very small. Baseball is back in action with a full slate of games Monday.
For those that want to finish out the summer league, I’ll side with the Bobcats. They have went from an 0-3 start to a sudden reversal of a four game winning streak. Players that were down and out have come alive. Players such as Justin Brownlee, Noah Vonleh, and Cody Zeller.
This is another revenge matchup for the Bobcats. During their three game losing streak one of their losses was to the Kings. They started off the first quarter of that game in with a woeful nine points. It became a competitive game but that first quarter proved to be an uphill battle too much to overcome.
Look for the Bobcats to dig deep in this summer league championship and snare another avenging win. Against the Knicks a team that blew them out of the water they turned a one point 1st quarter lead, into a 11-0 run start to the second quarter.
Grab the Bobcats to close out the summer league.
YESTERDAY’S FREE PLAY WON ON THE UNDER IN THE ANGELS AND MARINERS. TODAY I HEAD BACK TO THE SUMMER LEAGUE IN LAS VEGAS. THE TOURNAMENT PART OF THE SUMMER LEAGUE IS DOWN TO THE FINAL EIGHT TEAMS. LETS FOCUS ON THE BOBCATS VS KNICKS.
ONE THING I FULLY BELIEVE AS A HANDICAPPER IS WHAT YOU SEE IS WHAT YOU GET. SOMETIMES PEOPLE WILL DIVE TOO MUCH INTO TRENDS INSTEAD OF TRUSTING THEIR EYES. DURING THE PACERS HEAVY SLUMP IN THE SPRING, ODDSMAKERS WERE STILL BELIEVING THE PACERS OF DECEMBER AND JANUARY. IT LED TO SPORTS BETTORS DOING THE SAME WHEN THEY SHOULD HAVE BEEN TRUSTING THEIR EYES.
JUST A FEW DAYS AGO THE BOBCATS AND KNICKS MET IN THE SUMMER LEAGUE AND IT WAS THE MOST LOPSIDED PLAYED SUMMER LEAGUE GAME IN VEGAS. NEW YORK WAS WINNING BY 35 POINTS AT THE END OF THE THIRD QUARTER AND HAD A HALFTIME LEAD OF 33 POINTS.
THEY USED THEIR TRIANGLE OFFENSE TO RUN CIRCLES AROUND CHARLOTTE. THIS CHARLOTTE TEAM’S BEST OFFENSIVE WEAPON IS PJ HAIRSTON. HAIRSTON HAS COME ALONG THE LAST FEW GAMES ALONG WITH CODY ZELLER. THE FACT OF THE MATTER IS THIS TEAM’S STRENGTH IS DEFENSIVELY.
THE TRIANGLE IS TOO MUCH FOR AN OFFENSIVELY CHALLENGED TEAM TO OVERCOME IN THE SUMMER LEAGUE. TRUST THE RESULTS OF THE BLOWOUT A FEW DAYS AGO AND PLAY IT AGAIN HERE.
Shabazz Napier and the UConn Huskies came together at the right time to propel themselves to another NCAA title. Napier was a huge catalyst from a leadership standpoint. Where the Huskies moved forward as a team was unheralded play from their backup point guard in Samuel and 5th year senior Kromah.
Another turn around performer for the Huskies was forward DeAndre Daniels. Napier played solid all season but the Huskies success for a title came with their depth.
Napier went from a mid second round to undrafted player to a top five point guard. I’ve been big on Napier from his freshman days at UConn but I can’t ignore his performance in summer league play.
He is shooting just 27% from the field. His assist to turnover ratio per game is alarming. He is averaging 2.8 apg to 3.5 turnovers per game. To say he is having a poor debut for Miami is an understatement. It brings the question if Napier is better suited as an undersized shooting guard more than a point guard. After all he was a scoring guard at UConn. The defense is still there but an ability to run a team on the professional level has to be in question.
He’ll continue to get his chances with the Heat as a point guard, but you have to wonder how long that would last.
Part of Napier’s problem now is he needs to play more under control. As a team the Heat in the summer league are turning the ball over at an insane rate. Thus far they have 84 turnovers to 78 assists. That’s just poor basketball all around.
Napier needs to leave the summer league with one solid outing to hang his hat on. Just because LeBron is gone doesn’t mean he won’t face criticism from the media. The return of Bosh and Wade will keep the media eyes surrounding South Beach.
Free plays are 3-0 in the summer league. Today’s free play comes in the Spurs vs Jazz. The Spurs are coming off a resounding win yesterday, and the Jazz won in a rout Tuesday. The focus on this free play comes in the total.
Totals have floated around the high 150′s to low 160′s in the summer league. Lots of people have been cashing in on the over, but in these tournament rounds it’s time to start reversing those bets on the under. Individuals want to have eyes on them as long as they can, so they’ll step it up on the defensive end as well.
I haven’t been all that impressed with the Spurs or Jazz in their summer league half court offense. Bettors are going to look at the last game’s both teams played and see a lot of points. With the way these two teams have been shooting in the summer league this total should have been in the high 150′s.
Both are barely shooting an average of 30 percent from three point range. Utah is also not getting to the free throw line enough to trust taking an over. They’ve only attempted 55 free throws and have made just 33 of those.
The Jazz also have a shot blocker in Rudy Gobert who has been a key presence inside for the Jazz. A poor shooting perimeter team in the Spurs should miss those layup bunnies with Gobert’s presence.
My last variable in this under is the way the Spurs are handling using their summer league roster. Coach Ime Udoka is choosing to spread out the Spurs minutes like Coach Poppovich does with the Spurs. Poppovich can do that with the great roster he has. In summer league play though that is a disaster for inconsistency.
Twelve of their fifteen players are averaging over ten minutes a game. Eight are getting between 17 and 25 minutes. Take a look at other summer league teams and you’ll see this is not common.
Take the under on this game and go 4-0 on free plays. I also have three other premium plays available for today.
Cleveland continues to be the heartbeat of sports media. LeBron is back. What are the Cavaliers going to do next to please the King? Based on media reports they’re in speculative discussions to acquire Kevin Love. This is coming from the same media that reported all types of scenarios for Lebron prior to him declaring to Cleveland.
As the Cavliers sit they are in prime position to grow this season. Why take their valuable young assets and ship them away? Instead they have the formula everyone in the NBA would die to have. An unimaginable of high end low salary young assets (Dion Waiters, Thompson, Irving, Wiggins, Bennett) and veterans in Mike Miller, James Jones, and Anderson Varejeo.
The team that Cleveland will put on the court with Lebron is almost a replica hybrid of the 2012 Oklahoma City Thunder and Lebron’s Miami Heat teams. Vegas is usually spot on over the media and there’s a reason why the Cavs are Eastern Conference favorites and right behind the Spurs for title chances.
The pairing that will bolster this team to the top is their backcourt. Kyrie Irving’s care and attitude waned under poor leadership of Mike Brown and Byron Scott. He wanted out of Cleveland mid-season and was grumbling to the media. Dion Waiters and Irving clashed to the point that Waiters was nearly dealt to rid the team of camaraderie issues.
As the offseason approached Cavs fans were more worried about their youth than the far fetched idea of Lebron signing. If Kyrie would have exited there would not have been a possibility for LeBron heading there.
Why destroy a team of young athletes that have now decided to come together under LeBron? Build with them and see how LeBron and the new head coach see the team. If issues arise once again then put them on the trading block for a possible Kevin Love. Until that time hold tight and see where the athletes take you.
Summer league action has been great thus far. Free play posts keep winning so I’ll head there again before baseball returns. The Golden State Warriors had won 9 straight summer league games before suffering a loss to the Lakers on Monday.
In my estimation this Warriors squad is getting bookmaker love to entice the public betting market. Their first win over the Phoenix Suns has kept that momentum going. An overtime loss is not enough to get the bandwagon off the Warriors just yet.
But today should. This Golden State roster is not of summer league’s past. The Warriors rode the hot hands of Draymond Green, Ken Bazemore, and other catalysts the prior two summer league’s. Keep in mind this Warriors team did not have a draft pick this season. All players on their roster are practically undrafted free agents.
Rodney McGruder, James Michael McAdoo, Justin Holiday, and Aaron Craft are getting the bulk of the Warriors minutes alongside veteran free agent, Orlando Johnson and a few foreign players.
Atlanta is winless in the summer league but has had the toughest schedule thus far. They lost the D-League select by a bucket, the Wizards who have had a two-man show with Otto Porter/Glen Rice Jr, and the veteran driven Trailblazers (Barton, McCollum, Freeland, and Thomas Robinson).
They’re 0-3 squared with the public mentality of the Warriors is a catalyst for today’s free play.
Free throws have been a detriment for many teams in the summer league. Atlanta though has made 63 of 77 (81%). Golden State along with every other team is shooting a woeful 68%, 61 for 89.
I’ll take the four points tonight.