On the mound for an early start at 2:10 PM EST will be the Detroit Tigers- Rick Porcello against John Danks and the White Sox. The White Sox have stymied the Tigers in the first two games of the series, and Porcello will certainly be called upon to deliver once again for the Tigers. Porcello has had three starts against the Tigers in nearly a month, getting two wins and a non-decision on August 4th. Look for the series to continue to be a tight run scoring affair. Porcello’s three starts against the White Sox he has only given up a total of four runs. That’s a number I like, and for Detroit to continue to struggle to get a high amount of runs. Look for a 5-2, or 6-2 finish, going under the nine run set line.
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Sometimes in baseball it takes that wake up call to get a team going. St. Louis experienced that in their four game losing stretch to their division rivals Pittsburgh. It appeared the Pirates gained momentum and all signs were pointing against a slump for the Cardinals without Yadier Molina. The Cardinals are not going to just fade away in the division. They have elite pitching, that even if their bats are struggling outstanding pitching can win games for them. Right now the talk of poor run support from the Cardinals has disappeared over the last two games. Even in their last loss to Pittsburgh they hit the ball well (13). St. Louis is going against a tough opposing pitcher in Tony Cingrani, but I believe the value play is on St. Louis here. At +150 take them as a moneyline play, and catapult your day with three premium plays offered
Delving into Friday’s major league baseball action features three picks available. Today’s free play is focused on the total in the Cleveland Indians vs Miami Marlins. Ubaldo Jimenez has quelled the storm after starting the year rocky in Cleveland. He had a decent July, and is coming off two rock solid performances. One in Seattle where he allowed two home runs on five hits, and an eight inning gem in his last outing in which he gave up just two hits and zero runs. Cleveland’s travel could be a bit of a concern as they did play at Seattle a few series ago, and now they are in Miami. I don’t believe a veteran pitcher like Jimenez will have issues in that department.
Miami has put together some impressive wins over the last couple of weeks since the All-Star break. They’ve been producing runs when runners are in scoring position. Yesterday against Matt Harvey they scored just three runs, but those were timely runs when they had opportunities with runners on base. Jimenez is the type of pitcher that can clamp down against a lineup as the Marlins. He’ll get out of jams.
Home starting pitcher, Jose Fernandez, has not given up more than three runs dating back to June 1st. If Jimenez can control his walks and pitch through six innings, this should be an easy under.
Take the under of seven runs as Friday’s free play.
It’s been four days since the last action was seen in major league baseball. Be sure to take a look at today’s premium play between Tampa Bay and Toronto. For a total to score a win on, I focus on the Nationals and Dodgers total. Ricky Nolasco is heading to the mound for his third outing. He had a great start against the Diamondbacks but got down with three early runs in his last start against Colorado. Stephen Strasburg had an even rougher outing in his last start giving up the most runs he has ever allowed of seven in just two innings. Even though the Dodgers have struggled to score runs, I expect them to continue to pelt the balls Strasburg pitches today.
The total runs today of 7.5 is a generous number considering the woes of Strasburg. Let the questions raise about his arm, as the Nationals ponder if he needs rest again
A couple of pitchers that have made their travels from a few teams now, pitch against each other today in Jeremy Guthrie and Scott Kazmir. Guthrie who had success early in his career with Baltimore, has started to show the same issues of inconsistency he did as an Oriole. His ERA has been sky high over the last eight to ten games. As for Kazmir, he is the type of veteran that tries to use his wits and craftiness to pitch five to six innings. He is not going to dominate on the mound every time out, but knows how to not let hits and walks plague a half inning.
This is the perfect over total to take before MLB all-star break. Grab the over on nine runs.
David Price has been pitching lights out after a shaky start to the season. As a team the Rays have enjoyed a winning streak of eight games. It has been done with outstanding pitching and timely runs. This streak was against teams in the Chicago White Sox, Minnesota, and the tail end of a series against their opponent now in the Houston Astros.
The Astros we know are not a juggernaut, but a team on such a high game winning streak is going to hit a bump when you least expect it. Facing the Houston Astros they should be good for five to six runs. David Price should be fine on the mound, but a rough half inning or two is due, even with his resurgence. He did shut them out on July 2nd, but I expect the Astros to get three runs.
Take the over of 7.5