Posts tagged with “nfl week one point spreads”

Decision Time: Finalizing an NFL Betting Board

Wednesday, 1 August, 2018

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In all areas of life best practices can boost sustainability year over year. There are optimal times during the week of a cycled improvement plan. Everything you do can be tracked meticulously when trying to improve an area of your life style.

Whether you’re working on improving your fitness, nutrition, financial habits, or you name it.

In the world of betting this can’t be done with daily sports such as the NBA or MLB.

A cycle of wins and losses is likely going to be a rollercoaster for the entirety of that season.

The one sport you can gain an edge in with a proper weekly routine is the NFL. In the NFL I’ve broken down the two days of the week that could boost your ATS percentages or destroy.

Monday Night Football

After a taxing Saturday and Sunday tracking and betting games it can be hard to jump right back into it on Monday. It is but that’s the mindset you need to gain forward.

When one pushes themselves on a workout program the toughest day for gains are the follow up workouts. It’s the same with the NFL.

Mind you you’re going to need the proper setting to boost your knowledge of the number and memory. That comes via Monday Night football.

Almost like clock work I will wait until kickoff of Monday night football before I have the lines in front of me. Once kickoff begins I’m evaluating the board in my head.

The point spread of the Monday Night game and play on the field help facilitate board evaluation. You start remembering point spreads of prior weeks and even plays that dictated a final outcome. But the best thing about utilizing a Monday Night game is it’s the last game of the week. You have no choice but to put your mindset for future point spread evaluation.

Typically right before halftime of Monday Night football I have a solid foundation of a pre-board finalization. I may tweak a game or two but these are ones that I typically use for the upcoming week.

Worst Day to Finalize is Thursday

The absolute worst day to finalize is Thursday. In the above reference for Monday Night football one has no choice but to interpret the spreads with a future mindset.

On Thursday it’s the exact opposite. The week is beginning with Thursday Night Football in the NFL and scheduled college football games as well.

The tug of war decisions on games and point spreads will be inevitable. You’ll literally have thoughts on both sides of a spread, which is not a clear way to evaluate a board.

You’re over thinking will get you to pick the games that should not be difficult for an underdog while rationalizing the supposed easy games for favorites. That sets up the double-whammy irreversible betting weekend that can sink your betting confidence into the following week.

Do not attempt to finalize a betting board on Thursday as you will surely be in a current value mindset.

Take these two tips and mend your own routine year over year and you’ll be on the road too more profits ATS.

Handicapping: Are You Ready For Some Football?

Tuesday, 30 August, 2016

Comebacks in sports are nothing new. They happen with regularity. Yet, when it comes to the accuracy of NFL point spreads I marvel at how precise they can be.

It’s one of the reasons why I typically limit NFL weekly plays to two to three each week.

Today, talking with a buddy on our prior betting weekends in Las Vegas, we re-hashed some great ones.

In the upcoming week I may compile a best of just to showcase how tough the NFL can be.

With that being said lets go back to 2010, week fifteen and cue Robert Stack appearing out of a cloud of smoke.

Flashing down memory lane two games stood out and we were on both at the MGM Sportsbook.

The Philadelphia Eagles were getting absolutely drubbed by the home New York Giants.

This was the type of game where you could cancel even needing to pay attention.

Then the fourth quarter happened as Mike Vick showcased his old wheels. Tom Coughlin and the Giants played like a college basketball team protecting a big lead. They were letting Vick get what he wanted on the ground, thinking the clock would run out.

By the time the Giants decided to turn their defensive efforts back up, the momentum had already swung to the Eagles side.

Suddenly we began to get giddy like kids as we sensed the tide turning to the Eagles.

Then this happened.

It was pandemonium as we sprinted to the sportsbook window knowing full well it’d take an extra thirty seconds to cash out.

The same exact time frame we had action on the Jaguars plus the points. Another close game that Jacksonville missed several opportunities in.

Yet they were getting too many points so we had a feeling a backdoor scenario was probable.

Sure enough Jacksonville punched one in after three attempts on the Colts one-yard line. The score was 27-24 and within the spread.

This was our day, with two incredible come back wins ATS.

Yet, the only possible scenario to prevent the Jaguars covering happened.

We instantly were cursing up a storm on Jack Del Rio, David Garrard, Josh Scobee, and any other Jaguar that flew out of our mouths. While muttering like an old man—they had one timeout left.

It was agony and crushed our hearts like a high school sweetheart.

And there you have it folks. The NFL is a different level of professional sports and professional numbers from oddsmakers.

Be prepared for wild Sunday’s at any instance of a football game.

NFL Week One Handicapping Preview

Thursday, 10 September, 2015

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Just like in the preseason, Zack Cimini and Hollis Barnhart will continue to offer advice ATS in the NFL. Listen in as they have different opinions on two matchups ATS in week one. Be sure to check their premium plays out here or on winningedge.com