Football

NFL SUNDAY ATS RECAP AND A LOOK AT TEXANS/STEELERS

Monday, 20 October, 2014

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Lets recap yet another wild Sunday in the NFL ATS. On my side of things it was another great weekend ATS. In the NFL I swept the board for the second straight Sunday, going 4-0. ATS winners were with the Dallas Cowboys, Jacksonville Jaguars, Kansas City Chiefs, and best bet of the week on the Denver Broncos.

All played fairly well to their numbers except for the Cowboys being down by a touchdown in the second quarter to the Giants. They were able to turn things around and capitalize on big play after big play.

I do have Monday Night’s game as the last one on my NFL board for week seven. Thus far I am 20-5-1 ATS on the year for a whopping 80% in the NFL.

The current line has the Steelers at -3 and a total of 44.5.

Click on the TAB today’s picks to get Monday Night football’s winner for just $30.

HANDICAPPING NFL SUNDAY TIPS

Sunday, 19 October, 2014

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If you’re looking for consistency in ATS plays be sure to get on board with me. I’m 16-5 ATS in the NFL—-76%. To view this for documentation visit kellyinvegas.com where I submit the same plays via their picks archives database. Not on easy mark to achieve but it’s only through six weeks of the NFL season. Go to today’s picks and view my Sunday four game pass that includes MNF for just $65.

Instead of going the free play route I’ll delve into some handicapping tips for this week in the NFL.

** Limit your plays on totals. There are professional handicappers that steer clear of totals and it’s for a good reason. They’re difficult to pick on a consistent basis. Oddsmakers have a far and away better advantage on totals because of the unpredictability of miscues. Missed field goals, special teams errors (returns and muffs), defensive touchdowns, etc, can drag a total one way in a hurry. I always limit my total plays and it should be one of your trademark rules as well.

** Avoid playing the same team ATS on consecutive weeks. This is one of my personal rules because a winning ticket on a team you played the last week gives you a bit of a heightened influence on that team. You have a narrow view on them because you’re thinking of what they did for you last—CASH. Guess what, they’re not playing that team again this week and a lot changes in a span of a week. Ask people that bet Cincinnati after New England’s blowout loss to Kansas City. There are enough games to find better value without last week being an influencing factor.

** Prime time should not always be avoided. You shouldn’t be thinking about betting a prime time game after the Sunday day and afternoon games are complete. Or even Monday Night’s game on Sunday. Know your plays by before Sunday and stick to them. That gives you time to analyze the complete board and feel confident in your plays. Some people are scared to play the prime time games because of the money flow on them or to protect their gains or losses for the week. If you’ve analyzed the board properly and you like the Prime Time game, play it.

NCAA FOOTBALL SATURDAY FREE PLAY: RUTGERS VS OHIO STATE

Saturday, 18 October, 2014

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View the rest of my premium College Saturday plays under today’s picks. I have three plays in-store including my line movement shocker

Rutgers football travels to Columbus for a Saturday Big Ten matchup against Ohio State. Odds have soared to -22 in favor of Ohio State and may travel further before game time. Fresh on people’s minds is the Ohio State game in which they obliterated the Maryland Terrapins. Line movement was against the Buckeyes before game time traveling down in excess of 2-3 points to just 4.5.

I think this week is the perfect time to capitalize on the underdog Rutgers. Rutgers is a team that isn’t the most talented but is a pesky team if they can avoid silly turnovers from Senior quarterback Gary Nova.

Rutgers is in their first year of the Big Ten, and has a good nucleus of upper classmen. All of these players have heard on campus, in the media, and in their football circles talk of heading to the Big Ten for multiple years. It’s finally here and the marquee game on all their minds has to be Ohio State.

Rutgers was always a pesk to Big East and AAC heavyweights even when overmatched. Just ask Louisville.

This won’t be an upset but I expect Rutgers to hang in to get an easy cover being spotted over three touchdowns.

Common Denominator: Year of the Repeat Champion

Friday, 17 October, 2014

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The word “trend” is tossed around by a sports handicapper as habitually as a person texts “LOL” on a daily basis. It’s an embedded research tool that some handicappers base their top picks and situational games off of. I’m shocked to see that there has not been any coverage on the obvious trend of 2014.

It’s been a year of champions being crowned champions again. The UConn Huskies won their fourth NCAA title in men’s basketball. They won it in 1999, 2004, 2011, and 2014. The women’s team won yet again and added to their illustrious domination of college women’s basketball.

In golf, Bubba Watson won the Master’s tournament again. Over in the NBA the Spurs knocked down the Miami Heat to finish what they thought they had done the year prior. And now in baseball the San Francisco Giants are four games a way from winning their third title in five years.

I’ve glorified this trend on twitter before but now it’s time to get out in front for the NFL this season.

Will it be the 3-3 New York Giants that stave off their injuries and personnel issues to make another title run for Tom Coughlin? It sounds preposterous now but should it be laughed about that hard? Probably not. At 125-1 odds, the Giants may be worth a stab from my wallet. After all the NFC East has been a division notorious for 9-7 division winners. Philadelphia has won some games by playing an ugly style and Dallas is starting to look like an elite team. But knock out Tony Romo with his bad back or DeMarco Murray and what happens in Dallas? Their offense doesn’t control the game anymore which puts their susceptible defense back onto the field for longer durations.

The Baltimore Ravens are 26-1 before week seven’s game against the Falcons. They’re not being discussed as a top team just yet but have the formula to get back in the winner’s circle. Their defense is flying after the ball again, and their ace quarterback has found his 2012 rhythm again. Veteran additions such as Steve Smith are paying dividends and the big driver no one can forget is the team is playing with ammo after the Ray Rice incident. The bottom line is they’re playing great football in a division that might be the best in football.

An even larger Super Bowl odd are the Pittsburgh Steelers. They’re 130-1. At 3-3 and with their history this seems awfully odd. Big Ben has won two Super Bowls and the first was with a team that barely snuck into the playoffs. Coach Mike Tomlin has his hands full but this team is not a 130-1 type of team to me. In fact their team reminds me of the Ravens team of two years ago. Their defense has a lot of aging players like the Ravens did with Ray Lewis and Ed Reed. But the offense may be in position to outscore opponents and aide their aging defense.

Last but not least are the New England Patriots. The media beaten down team of just three games ago has silenced their critics with three straight wins. This is the team that fits the mold the best of comparable other sports teams like the Spurs and San Francisco Giants. At 13-1 right now could value be any higher on a team led by Bill Belicheck? Does the coach and his quarterback Tom Brady have one last ride in them?

I don’t about you but I’ll be spreading some wagers across all four of these teams. The Seahawks, Broncos, Cowboys, 49ers, Packers, and other people’s spur of the moment teams can have their shine right now. When it’s all said and done we will have another repeat champion crowned.

Watch a week seven ATS preview of the Saints vs Lions game. If interested in weekend premium plays click under “Today’s Pick’s” to gain access to Saturday and Sunday’s plays.

VIDEO: 49ERS VS BRONCOS ATS PREVIEW

Wednesday, 15 October, 2014

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Watch and listen as Zack Cimini, Hollis Barnhardt, and John Cranton break down this week’s San Francisco vs Denver matchup.

Video: NFL ATS Preview New Orleans vs Detroit Lions

Wednesday, 15 October, 2014

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Watch and listen as Zack Cimini, Hollis Barnhardt, and John Cranton break down the Saints vs the Lions for week seven of the NFL.