Week one of NFL Sunday is finally here. I currently have a free play video between the Raiders and Jets under the today’s picks section. View it there and also take a glance at my premium plays package. Three NFL Sunday plays for just $50.
To view live lines be sure to check donbest.com. Here are the sides and totals of Sunday and Monday’s action in the NFL as of 430PM PST.
Saints -3 vs Atlanta, Total-52
Minnesota Vikings vs St. Louis Rams -3.5, Total 43.5
Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers -6.5, Total 41.5
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Philadelphia Eagles -10.5, Total 52.5
Oakland Raiders vs New York Jets -5.5, Total 40.5
Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens, Total 43
Buffalo Bills vs Chicago Bears -6.5, Total 47.5
Washington Redskins vs Houston Texans -3, Total 45
Tennessee vs Kansas City -3, Total 43.5
New England Patriots -4 vs Miami Dolphins, Total 47
Carolina vs Tampa Bay -2.5, Total 38.5
San Francisco -4 vs Dallas, Total 51.5
Indianapolis Colts vs Denver -7.5, Total 55.5
New York Giants vs Detroit Lions -6, Total 47
San Diego Chargers vs Arizona Cardinals -3, Total 45
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For live odds visit DonBest.com
For the second week of college football I have three premium plays, I have the same in the NFL as well. For this week’s free play I’ll go ahead and discuss a play that came just short of making the cut for premium plays.
Virginia Tech +11 against Ohio State
No one truly does know the actual value of Ohio State. A week ago bettors were spurned as they took Navy. The game looked like it would go the way of the underdog but changed significantly in the second half. Bandwagon’s change quickly in all phases of life and the same thing applies to sports handicapping.
People that weren’t in love with Ohio State a week ago likely have shifted their thoughts once again.
But I’m thinking they were a week to early on rooting for the underdog. Virginia Tech has notoriously been a well prepared team especially defensively. On offense they do have a new quarterback in Michael Brewer, but it’s under different circumstances from Ohio State. They were expecting to replace Logan Thomas due to graduation and had a junior in Brewer to replace Thomas.
Take the Hokies plus the points. I have a feeling Ohio State will be the Florida of last year. Overvalued week to week but still will get money on them because of their name.
A year ago the MAC definitely proved they were an unworthy conference for bowl representatives. The conference went 0-4 including Bowling Green, which lost 30-27 to Pittsburgh.
Western Kentucky was a team that was on its way up with Bobby Petrino. They had some exciting moments including an opening week win against SEC opponent Kentucky a year ago. But losing a coach of Petrino’s caliber detracts from the program. The departure of running back Antonio Andrews is also a hit a program like Western Kentucky doesn’t replace overnight. Andrews ran over 1500 yards his last two seasons in Western Kentucky. Senior quarterback Brandon Doughty will have to prove he is ready to lead this team with his arm.
Bowling Green was a team last year that got away with winning ugly. The MAC boosted that effort as the weak conference allotted for miscues and sluggishness. The team did thrive defensively though allowing just under 16 points a game. A mark that was 5th best in the country. This is key as the team returns nine upperclassmen from last years defense.
Where I expect Bowling Green to take big steps and to do so Friday is offensively. As stated they were often times sluggish out the gate of games. In the first quarter of the first nine games last year they only scored a touchdown in two of those games. Thanks to their strong defense they were able to comeback from deficits or be in a scoreless game.
Towards the end of their MAC schedule things began to change. Senior quarterback Matt Johnson started to find his rhythm earlier in games. They torched Ohio, Eastern Michigan, Buffalo, and Northern Illinois.
Look for Bowling Green to come out strong and perform well tomorrow on the road. Being a team from the MAC has this line shadowed down, but they have a clear talent advantage. Buy the hook down to 7.
Each day this week I’ll give a breakdown of win totals and where I believe the right side is on the number. Numbers are moving continually and will grow even more before the season begins. This is the fun part of getting into the futures market. Lets just hope no serious injuries occur for those tickets on the over.
Vegas Has it Right On
New England- 10.5
I’ve already written a piece on the AFC East trending upward for 2014. That typically means a downfall for the team that runs the division yearly. With New England their consistency marks an unfathomable reason to suddenly write them off. They’ve improved defensively and have the same nucleus offensively. If it’s not broke don’t fix it. This was one of the easiest totals set by Vegas and it’s spot on.
Beats the Number
New York Jets 7
Initially when looking at the number of seven wins, you’d automatically have a thought of under. On second thought though this team was somewhat impressive last year with a scaled back offense and defense back on the rise. They had some strong wins against the Saints and a few other teams. Normally I’d downgrade a team with a quarterback controversy set to embroil the season. In this case I consider it an upgrade. Geno Smith can’t possibly play worse and Mike Vick is a quarterback you don’t want playing a full 16 games. At some point he’ll probably see the field and a shortened season could be to the Jets benefit. He has been in this role before and understands his situation in New York.
Miami Dolphins 8
Can Ryan Tannehill show true year three quarterback progression? I believe so. He was the main culprit to the demise of many winnable games for the Dolphins a year ago. His confidence began to wane after the Dolphins week four loss on Monday Night football to the Saints. They were ran out of the building with Tannehill having blunder after blunder. After that game the Dolphins play calling was never the same. It was scaled back and hindered the team. This year the play calling will bode to Tannehill’s strengths and we should see a turn around. Don’t be surprised if they get close to a playoff berth or end up with one.
Being a Syracuse fan I had my questions with the selection of Doug Marrone as head coach. Usually a college coach making the transition to the NFL had a serious strong campaign in college. Marrone did not. Syracuse did develop into a bowl eligible team but getting to a bowl game is not a great achievement anymore. Buffalo seems to have the pieces to string together wins but this does not seem to be the year to do so. The reach in drafting EJ Manuel that stirred controversy will start to rear its head this season.
Notjustagame.com’s, Zack Cimini, gives insight on betting on preseason football and today’s games in MLB.