Archive for November, 2007

Cowboys vs. Packers Preview

Wednesday, 28 November, 2007

Provided by Sportsbook.com

There isn’t much that future Hall of Famer Brett Favre hasn’t accomplished in his 17 years as an NFL signal caller. One thing that has eluded him is a victory at Texas Stadium. As a matter of fact Favre is 0-8 in Dallas and he covered the spread in only one of those games. With a 10-1 record this season and a money making 9-1-1 record ATS, at first glance it appears as if the Packers are not getting much love considering they are currently 7 point underdogs. Then again the Cowboys have an equally impressive 10-1 record and are 6-1 ATS versus conference opponents this season.

Combining for almost 60 points a game, the Cowboys and the Packers have the second and fifth highest scoring teams in the NFL. Not surprisingly, they combined to cover the OVER about 68% of the time this season. Historically when they square off, the Over is almost a sure thing. In their last 10 meetings the final score exceeded the Total 9 times. For all of the reasons above, the linesmen at Sportsbook.com have set the Total at a lofty 51.5 points. Despite the high number, 88% of the early bettors at Sportsbook.com believe these teams will continue their trends of putting plenty of points on the scoreboard.

Behind the NFC’s top two passers, expect both teams to air it out early and often. Favre is quieting all of his critics who stated he should have stepped down during the off season. The 38 year old has a career high 101.5 passer rating to go along with 22 touchdowns and only 8 interceptions. Tony Romo’s numbers are just as if not more impressive with a rating of 105.3 with 29 scores and 13 picks. The Romo to Terrell Owens combo has been the deadliest in the league burning their last four opponents for 537 yards and 8 touchdowns. The Romo-T.O. duo will face off against a tough pair of corners in Al Harris and Charles Woodson. Although the Packers defense could take a huge blow if Woodson isn’t able to play due to a toe injury; he is currently listed as questionable.

With both teams likely to put the ball in the air, putting pressure on the opposing quarterback could determine who will have the inside track on NFC home field advantage. Behind defensive ends Aaron Kampman and Kabeer Gbaja-Biamila, the Packers are third in the NFL with 32 sacks. Dallas isn’t too far behind with 30 thanks to linebackers DeMarcus Ware and Greg Ellis.

Log on now to Sportsbook.com to bet on the game of the week. With two 10-1 teams ready to clash, this game is a must watch. For those that can’t decide which side to back, Sportsbook.com will be offering plenty of props for this primetime game.

Brett Favre- Total Passing Yards O/U 315.5

Tony Romo- Total Completions O/U 21.5

Terrell Owens- Total Receptions O/U 6.5

First Score will be? TD -180, Any Other +150

Turkey Day

Thursday, 22 November, 2007

Provided by Sportsbook.com

When glancing at the spreads for Week 12 of the NFL season, one thing immediately jumps out at you: double digit spreads. In the spirit of Thanksgiving, Sportsbook.com is offering both of its double digit spread promotions. With the “Revenge of the Turkeys ” promotion, you will receive an extra 50% bonus on top of your winnings if you back a double digit dog and they win outright. For those that prefer betting heavy favorites Sportsbook.com has something for you too. If you back double digit favorite and they double the spread, again you will receive a 50% bonus to your winning bet. With five double digit spreads to choose from, including two on Thanksgiving, be sure to enter this generous promotion.

Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions

At 9-1 the Pack have a stranglehold on the NFC North and more importantly they are a money making 8-1-1 ATS for 2007. Nonexistent earlier in the season, the Packer running game has improved greatly with the emergence of Ryan Grant. Dinged up, he could be in for a long day as opposing rushers averaged less than 64 yards per game against the Lions over the last four games. The Lions passing defense, on the other hand, ranks 30th in the NFL surrendering almost 258 yards per game so expect the reinvigorated Brett Favre to have another big game. The Lions’ inconsistent offense has a pathetic 43 yards total over the past two games on the ground and will most likely stick to their passing attack yet again. Although the Packers have had some great success over the past decade or so, they are just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games in Detroit . Sportsbook.com’s early bettors don’t seem too concerned about this trend as an overwhelming 88% of the action is on Green Bay (-3).

New York Jets @ Dallas Cowboys

Coming off a huge home win versus the Steelers, the Jets will need to pull an even bigger rabbit out of their hat if they expect to knock off the 9-1 Cowboys in Dallas . The Jets’ defense was impressive last weekend shutting down the Steelers but will face an even bigger challenge as Dallas scores 32.4 points per game while the Jets defense allows 27.5 on the road. Dallas looks like it will be without WR Patrick Crayton; however, Tony Romo will still have T.O. at his services which matters most. Over the last four games, the two have connected for 575 yards and 8 scores. Jets’ RB Thomas Jones was the first RB to rush for over 100 yards against the Steelers last weekend. He’ll have his work cut out for him again as the Dallas “D” allows just 84.3 yards per game on the ground. By looking at Sportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends” it appears as if bettors feel last week’s performance against the Steelers was an aberration as only 19% of the early bettors see value in the Jets (+14).

Indianapolis Colts @ Atlanta Falcons

Having lost two of their three games and almost all three, the banged up Colts are struggling mightily. Hitting the road to play the 3-7 Falcons seems like a good recipe for a cure. That doesn’t necessarily make them an automatic bet however. Against teams with a losing record, the Colts are 0-5 ATS this season while the Falcons are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games as an underdog of at least 10.5 points. The Colts usually explosive offense is averaging just 18 points over the past three games while Peyton Manning has tossed 8 interceptions to only 3 TD’s in those games. Atlanta ’s pass defense has been stellar recently holding their last three opponents to under 156 yards. Their rushing defense, on the other hand, is pretty vulnerable yielding 124 yards to opposing teams so expect a heavy dose of Joseph Addai yet again. Given the Colts’ recent struggles it is surprising that 89% of the early bettors are backing them (-12) but then again we all know how much the public loves the favorites.

Sportsbook.com NCAA Top 10

Tuesday, 6 November, 2007

Sportsbook.com’s College Basketball Top 10

With the NCAA Men’s basketball season underway, here is how the Sportsbook.com’s Top 10 with odds to cut down the nets next April:

1. UNC 6-1

The Tar Heels are absolutely loaded with All-American candidates headed by C Tyler Hansbrough (18.9 pts, 7.9 reb). Sophomore guards Ty Lawson and Wayne Ellington both averaged double figures as freshmen and might be the best backcourt in the country.

2. UCLA 6-1

The Bruins are loaded and ready to make a run at their third consecutive Final Four appearance. Freshman C Kevin Love is a beast and should make an immediate impact on the low blocks. He’ll team with one of the top point guards in the nation Darren Collison (12.7 ppg, 5.7 ast) and swingman Josh Shipp (13.3 ppg).

3. Memphis 7-1

As usual, coach Calipari will have plenty of athletes at his disposal. Center Joey Dorsey is a beast on the boards (9.4 reb) and is complimented nicely with junior guard Chris Douglass-Roberts (15.4 ppg). Keep an eye on a couple of freshman guards in Jeff Robinson and Derrick Rose. Both are perfect for the Tigers offense and will contribute from day 1.

4. Kansas 10-1

Despite his intentions of entering the NBA early last season, swingman Brandon Rush (13.8 ppg) will return due to offseason knee surgery. With Rush, there is no shortage of perimeter talent on the Jayhawks roster including Mario Chalmers (12.2 ppg), Russell Robinson (7.2 ppg) and Sherron Collins (9.3 ppg). The frontcourt is a bit thin although Darrell Arthur is coming off and impressive freshman campaign.

5. Tennessee 12-1

Tennessee won’t have a problem putting points on the board as Iowa transfer Tyler Smith (14.9 ppg) joins fellow forward Wayne Chism (9.1 ppg) in the frontcourt. Chris Lofton (20.8 ppg) leads a talented group of guards which includes JaJuan Smith (15.2 ppg) and Ramar Smith (10.7 ppg).

6. Georgetown 15-1

Four starters return from last year’s Final Four team including 7’2” Roy Hibbert (12.9 ppg). Forward DaJuan Summers (9.2 ppg) had an impressive freshman year and could explode. The backcourt is loaded with returning starters Jessie Sapp (9.1 ppg) and Jonathan Wallace (11.4 ppg) joined by freshmen difference makers Chris Wright and Austin Freeman.

7. Louisville 15-1

The Cardinals are absolutely loaded and have a balanced attack but will need to stay healthy to take it to the next level. Forward Terrance Williams was the team’s leading scorer and will play alongside Edgar Sosa (11.4) and Jerry Smith on the perimeter. Up front, any combination of Juan Palacios (8.9 ppg), David Padgett (9.5), Derrick Caracter (8.9 ppg) and Earl Clark (5.9 ppg) can compete with any frontcourt in the country.

8. Indiana 20-1

Senior Forward D.J. White (13.8 ppg, 7.3 reb) is a legit All-American candidate. JUCO AA Jamarcus Ellis should make an immediate splash from the small forward spot. Another newcomer, Eric Gordon is one of the top freshmen in the country and should light it up from day 1.

9. Michigan State 20-1

All five starters return including All-American shooting guard Drew Neitzel (18.1 ppg). Point guard Travis Walton is a steady floor leader and small forward Raymar Morgan (11.7 ppg) is a dependable second scoring option. Freshmen Durrell Summers, Kalin Lucas and Chris Allen should all add much needed help off the bench.

10. Duke 35-1

The Blue Devils are set on the perimeter with returning starters Greg Paulus (11.8 ppg), Gerald Henderson (6.8 ppg) and Jon Scheyer (12.2 ppg). The frontcourt, on the other hand, is another matter. Freshman Kyle Singler is expected to contribute immediately and is definitely talented enough to start. Either Lance Thomas or Brian Zoubek, both sophomores, will need to become more of a factor if the Devils expect to make a run come March.

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