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NCAA Tournament: Middling At Halftime

Monday, 20 March, 2017

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Sports gambling continues to gain steam at the same rate fantasy sports did in the early 2000s.

Still, there is very little discussed in terms of actual sports gaming wagering.

Ed Salmons oddsmaker at Westgate resort reported that their handle increased by 20% year over year from the first four days of the NCAA tournament last year (Guest appearance March 20th on Mitch and Pritch ESPN 1100). That’s remarkable as Salmons specified the repeat customers are through the roof.

Accuracy of point spreads from Salmons and other books was as sharp as can be during the first four days. More than a handful of games at halftime were within a point or two of the full game spread.

That’s great if you had the first half wager as well but the majority of bettors take full game action.

That leaves bettors left with a conundrum of middling at halftime to lower the blow of a potential ATS loss.

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This option to me makes more sense than waiting for a live bet during game action in the second half.

Typically the market value of halftime lines is gravitated fairly in terms of the original line. One also has a full fifteen to twenty minutes to decide their hedge dollar amount and percentage to take off their full game wager.

In-game is far more reactionary with lines inflated based on the last spurt of whichever team. You’ll also have less than ninety seconds to place this wager. You don’t want to know how many dead sprints I’ve seen people do and regret it by the next live bet option TV timeout.

In the end I fully believe you should middle when an opportunity presents itself at halftime. This is a best practice used in the NFL season when the sharpest of lines are out on a weekly basis.

With tournament games on from the early morning to late at night you want to protect your dollars invested as best as possible.